Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022840 0.025929 0.029309 0.033284 0.037836 0.042894 0.048948
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.017636 0.021735 0.026622 0.032897 0.040767 0.050347 0.062944
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014834 0.019302 0.024945 0.032629 0.042876 0.056151 0.074779
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013275 0.018062 0.024399 0.033459 0.046177 0.063538 0.089274
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011707 0.016541 0.023199 0.033124 0.047681 0.068467 0.100784
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.010884 0.015913 0.023100 0.034228 0.051222 0.076521 0.117639
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.009603 0.014463 0.021629 0.033099 0.051244 0.079264 0.126616
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.008674 0.013427 0.020644 0.032557 0.052035 0.083163 0.137743
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007722 0.012254 0.019318 0.031310 0.051518 0.084841 0.145283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.007406 0.012050 0.019489 0.032483 0.055064 0.093523 0.165761
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007112 0.011851 0.019637 0.033611 0.058618 0.102545 0.187872
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006820 0.011623 0.019707 0.034595 0.061995 0.111566 0.211015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006300 0.010968 0.019006 0.034179 0.062860 0.116237 0.226695
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005844 0.010385 0.018383 0.033845 0.063848 0.121256 0.243745
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005443 0.009866 0.017823 0.033564 0.064884 0.126441 0.261724
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005237 0.009684 0.017860 0.034419 0.068227 0.136523 0.291265
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004894 0.009214 0.017315 0.034074 0.069098 0.141645 0.310663
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004759 0.009133 0.017503 0.035211 0.073144 0.153823 0.347441
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.004373 0.008527 0.016614 0.034048 0.072177 0.155113 0.359208
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.004088 0.008097 0.016040 0.033489 0.072458 0.159154 0.377986
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003753 0.007541 0.015165 0.032205 0.070995 0.159096 0.386733
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.003686 0.007535 0.015423 0.033414 0.075303 0.172803 0.431802
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.003617 0.007515 0.015651 0.034575 0.079621 0.187011 0.480157